Publications

(This site is under construction. If you want to download one of my publications please visit my google.scholar profile. If you would like to ask for replication data please do not hesitate to contact me!)

Monographs and Editorships

Pieter DeWilde, Ruud Koopmans, Wolfgang Merkel, Oliver Strijbis, and Michael Zürn, 2019, Struggle over Borders: Cosmopolitanism and Communitarianism, Cambridge University Press.

Oliver Strijbis and Kai-Uwe Schnapp (Eds.), 2015, Aktivierung und Überzeugung im Bundestagswahlkampf 2013, Springer DE.

Peerreviewed journal articles

Oliver Strijbis and Siri Völker, forthcoming, “Candidate resources rather than ethnic voting: Explaining the underrepresentation of Afro-Brazilians”, Journal of Elections, Public Opinion, and Parties.

Nenad Stojanovic and Oliver Strijbis, 2019, “Incentives for cross–ethnic voting in multi-member majoritarian elections: Evidence from a natural experiment”, European Political Science Review.

Oliver Strijbis, 2018, “Assimilation or social mobility? Explaining ethnic boundary crossing between the Ecuadorian 2001 and 2010 census”, Ethnic and Racial Studies, online first.

Aline Hirseland and Oliver Strijbis, 2018, “’We were forgotten’. The effect of linkages between indigenous peoples and political parties on ethnic voting in Bolivia”, Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, online first.

Oliver Strijbis and Javier Polavieja, 2018, “Immigrants against immigration: Competition, Identity and Immigrants’ Vote on Free Movement in Switzerland”, Electoral Studies 56, 150–157.

Oliver Strijbis, Joshua Helmer, and Pieter De Wilde, 2018, “A Cosmopolitan− Communitarian Cleavage around the World? Evidence from Ideological Polarization and Party-Voter Linkages”, Acta Politica, online first.

Oliver Strijbis and Sveinung Arnesen, 2018, “Explaining variance in the accuracy of prediction markets”, International Journal of Forecasting 35(1), 408-419.

Sean Westwood, Shanto Iyengar, Stefan Walgrave, Luis Miller, Rafael Leonisio, and Oliver Strijbis, 2018, “The Ties That Divide: Cross-National Evidence of the Primacy of Partyism”, European Journal of Political Research 57(2), 333-354.

Oliver Strijbis, 2017, “Nicht was Du denkst! Was wir von Wahlvorhersagen wirklich lernen können”, Politische Vierteljahresschrift 58(3), 442-451.

Oliver Strijbis, Sveinung Arnesen, and Laurent Bernhard, 2016, “Using prediction market data for measuring the expected closeness in electoral research”, Electoral Studies 44, 144-150.

Sveinung Arnesen and Oliver Strijbis, 2015, “Accuracy and Bias in European Prediction Markets”, Italian Journal of Applied Statistics 25(2), 123-138.

Oliver Strijbis, 2015, “Beyond Opportunity Structures: Explaining Migrant Protest in Western Europe, 1975-2005”, Comparative Migration Studies 3(5), 1-22.

Oliver Strijbis and Michal Kotnarowski, 2015, “Measuring the Electoral Mobilization of Ethnic Parties: Towards Comparable Indicators”, Party Politics 21(3), 456-469.

Oliver Strijbis, 2014, “Migration Background and Voting Behavior: A Socio-Psychological Explanation”, Swiss Political Science Review 20(4), 612–631.

Rafael Leonisio and Oliver Strijbis, 2014, “Beyond self-placement: Why the nationalist and not the left-right divide explains electoral behavior in the Basque Country”, Revista Española de Investigaciones Sociologicas (REIS) 146, 47-68.

Book chapters

Oliver Strijbis, forthcoming, “Citizenship, Migration, and Voting Behavior”, in: Handbook of Citizenship and Migration, eds.: Marco Giugni and Maria Grasso. Edward Elgar Publishing.

Oliver Strijbis, Céline Teney, and Marc Helbling, 2019, “Why are elites more cosmopolitan than masses?”, p. 37-64 in Pieter DeWilde, Ruud Koopmans, Wolfgang Merkel, Oliver Strijbis, and Michael Zürn, eds., Struggle over Borders: Cosmopolitanism and Communitarianism, Cambridge University Press.

Oliver Strijbis, 2019, “Who is the most frequent traveller? The cosmopolitanism of national, European, and global elites”, Chapter 5 in Pieter DeWilde, Ruud Koopmans, Wolfgang Merkel, Oliver Strijbis, and Michael Zürn, eds., Struggle over Borders: Cosmopolitanism and Communitarianism, Cambridge University Press.

Bernhard Wessels and Oliver Strijbis, 2019, “Mass opinions: Globalization and issues as axes of contention”, p. 65-88 in Pieter DeWilde, Ruud Koopmans, Wolfgang Merkel, Oliver Strijbis, and Michael Zürn, eds., Struggle over Borders: Cosmopolitanism and Communitarianism, Cambridge University Press.

Oliver Strijbis, Rafael Leonisio, and Sveinung Arnesen, 2018, “¿Es estratégico el votante español? Análisis del voto de coaliciones con un mercado de predicción”, p. 395–414 in Francisco Llera (Ed.): Las Elecciones Generales 2015 y 2016. CIS.

Oliver Strijbis, 2017, “Wenn AusländerInnen wählen und abstimmen dürften: Überlegungen anhand von aktuellen Umfragedaten”, p. 57–72 in Andreas Glaser (Ed.): Politische Rechte für Ausländerinnen und Ausländer?. Schulthess Verlag.

Rafael Leonisio, and Oliver Strijbis, 2016, “La polarización bidimensional”, p. 161–174  in Francisco J. Llera (Ed.): Las elecciones autonómicas en el País Vasco, 1980-2012. CIS.

Kai-Uwe Schnapp and Oliver Strijbis, 2015, “Fazit”, p. 197–205 in Oliver Strijbis and Kai-Uwe Schnapp (Eds.): Aktivierung und Überzeugung im Bundestagswahlkampf 2013. Springer VS.

Oliver Strijbis and Kai-Uwe Schnapp, 2015, “Einleitung: Aktivierung und Überzeugung im Bundestagswahlkampf 2013”, p. 1–14 in Oliver Strijbis and Kai-Uwe Schnapp (Eds.): Aktivierung und Überzeugung im Bundestagswahlkampf 2013. Springer VS.

Oliver Strijbis, 2015, “Aktivierung und Überzeugung durch Wahlkampfereignisse”, p. 15–32 in Oliver Strijbis and Kai-Uwe Schnapp (Eds.): Aktivierung und Überzeugung im Bundestagswahlkampf 2013. Springer VS.

Oliver Strijbis, Tom Paltins and Agibou Bouare, 2015, “Haben die Umfragen das Wahlergebnis beeinflusst? Strategisches Wählen und Mitläufereffekte bei der Bundestagswahl 2013”, p. 177–194 in Oliver Strijbis and Kai-Uwe Schnapp (Eds.): Aktivierung und Überzeugung im Bundestagswahlkampf 2013. Springer VS.

Other pieces

“El cambio de clima impulsa a los verdes en Suiza”, with Alberto Lopez Ortega, Agenda Publica (El Pais), October 16, 2019.

“Die Schlussvorhersage des Prognosemarktes”, DeFacto, October 14, 2019.

“Es wird auf den Wahlerfolg der Grünen gewettet”, DeFacto, September 9, 2019.

“Der Prognosemarkt für die Ständeratswahlen”, DeFacto, August 17, 2019.

“Die Nationalität wird immer überbewertet”, April 24, 2019, Interview with reformiert.

“Wie weltoffen ist Deutschland?”, 2018, with Marc Helbling, Study commissioned by Bertelsmann Stiftung.

“Szenarien für die neue Regierungszusammensetzung in Katalonien”, with Alberto López Ortega, DeFacto, November 6, 2017.

“Das Referendum in Katalonien ist undemokratisch”, NZZ am Sonntag, 24. September 2017, p. 17.

“Kosmopolitische Eliten; In vielen Ländern ist die Gesamtbevölkerung eher nationalstaatlich orientiert“, with Céline Teney, WZB Mitteilungen Nr. 153, August 2016.

“Richtungswahl in Spanien – die Vorhersage mittels Prognosemarkt”, DeFacto, June 21, 2016.

“Prediction market shows highest probability for PSOE-Podemos and PP-Ciudadanos government”, Politikon, June 15, 2016.

“MEI: Ausländer hätten gleich gestimmt”, DeFacto, March 13, 2016.

“Juniorpartner Podemos oder Neuwahlen? Spaniens Politik im Dilemma”, DeFacto, December 21, 2015.

“Ist die SVP die grosse Verliererin?”, Tages-Anzeiger, April 10, 2015.

“Schlechte Karten für Steiner”, Tages-Anzeiger, March 16, 2015.

“Ich gewinne meistens”, Interview with Tages-Anzeiger, March 4, 2015.

“How a close race is bringing Scots to the polls”, Swissinfo: Direct Democracy Blog, September 16, 2014.